Is it takeoff?

Rolling.

  1. Hold short
  2. Rolling
  3. V1
  4. Rotate
  5. Airborne

Published Oct 7, 2026 Wheels still on the ground.

Held short 1,406 days. Rolling since Oct 6, 2026.

Log

  1. Rolling

    OpenAI says an unreleased model wrote 722 research manuscripts: 372 claimed results on open problems, the Unique Games Conjecture among them, at about three hours of compute apiece. 162 papers have Lean-checked main results. The rest are waiting on human readers.

    github.com/openai/math

  2. Hold short

    ChatGPT ships. People start asking the question daily.

Reading the runway

This is an editorial assessment, not a live measurement. It moves when the evidence does.

Hold short
The machines are impressive. The research is still ours.
Rolling
Machines produce frontier research faster than people can check it.
V1
Committed. Machines do most of the work of building the next machines.
Rotate
The curve lifts on its own. Each generation arrives sooner than the last.
Airborne
Takeoff. You will not need this website.

We check so you don’t have to.

takeofftogether.org foomorfomo.com